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Think Different
Posted by 360 on November 27th, 2011

Contrarians may make bad employees and bad spouses, but they make excellent  investors.  One of the truths of trading is that the markets tend to destroy the  majority following conventional wisdom and reward the minority following contrarian thinking. The worst looking trades are usually the most profitable so YOU MUST TAKE THE  TRADE and not think about not taking the trade because it looks bad.  But just  like a good floor trader you must learn how to get in and out at the best price and always have a stop loss in place, I recomend a 2:1 risk/reward or better. Example if stock XYZ is trading at 10.00 and we have a target at a trendline, lets say at 12.00 we should be using a stop around $9.00.

Think Different

Ben Graham’s Assistant’s 19 Bullish Stock Picks
Posted by 360 on August 31st, 2011
59046v1 max 450x450 Ben Grahams Assistants 19 Bullish Stock Picks

Image via CrunchBase

Article by Insider Monkey

Irving Kahn is perhaps the world’s oldest investment banker. Mr. Kahn, 105 years old, has been serving as the Chairman of Kahn Brothers Group Inc. since its foundation in 1978. Mr. Kahn has been in the investment business for over 78 years. He graduated from the City College of New York and served as a teaching assistant to Benjamin Graham at the Columbia University Business School. Mr. Kahn holds a CFA designation and is a member of the New York Society of Security Analysts, the CFA Institute member society that he co-founded in 1930s. Mr. Thomas Kahn, 68 years old, is Mr. Irving Kahn’s son and is the President of Kahn Brothers Group Inc. Mr. Thomas Kahn is also a CFA.

Kahn Brothers Group primarily invests in undervalued securities that offer a margin of safety and good prospects for capital appreciation. The firm describes its philosophy as ‘we eat our own cooking’ as the firm’s managers align their interests with those of their clients’ and buy the same securities for their clients that they buy for themselves. In a recent interview, Mr. Irving Kahn said: “Wall Street has always been a very Read the rest of this entry »

Investing 101: Finding Rallying Stocks Still Undervalued to Analyst Estimates
Posted by 360 on August 21st, 2011
300px IE Real SandP Price Earnings Ratio%2C Interest 1871 2006 Investing 101: Finding Rallying Stocks Still Undervalued to Analyst Estimates

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By Becca Lipman, Kapitall

One interesting way to find undervalued stocks is by finding those that do not proportionally increase in price for a given increase in earnings per share (EPS) estimate.

To create this list, we focused on large-cap ($10B-$200B) stocks trading on the U.S. markets. We started with a theoretical observation about P/E ratios.

If the price/earnings per share ratio is equal to some constant K, it follows that there should be a linear relationship between price and earnings per share. In other words:

If P/E = K
then P = (K)(E)

If there is a mismatch between growth rates in projected earnings per share values and price, a mis-pricing may have occurred, presenting an opportunity to value investors.

All of the stocks listed below have seen an increase in the current year EPS analyst projection over the last 30 days. For every stock in this list, the price change has lagged the change in EPS projections. This indicates that these stocks may still have to price in the good news.

Yes, this approach isn’t 100% accurate. There is no reason to believe that P/E should be equal to a constant at all times (that is, after all, a simplifying assumption to build a screen). But the goal here is to give you a starting point in finding potentially undervalued stocks.

Would you like to know more about any of the terms used above? Read the rest of this entry »

What is value investing?
Posted by 360 on August 14th, 2011

By Nimi Akinkugbe

Value investing is an investment approach that is based on the premise that with some effort, you can find good, strong companies whose share prices have fallen, so offer good value for money. It was made popular by Benjamin Graham, and Warren Buffet, who largely based his investment decisions on the tenets of value investing and used this approach to build his extraordinary fortune. According to Warren Buffet, “value investing is the real form of investment, anything else is pure speculation.”

Assumptions of value investing

More often than not, the stock price does not reflect the real value of the stock itself. Market volatility, emotions and fear drive price volatility. The result is that stock prices will be either overvalued or undervalued at a particular time.

Nobody knows exactly when the market will reflect the stock’s true or fundamental value; it could take months, years, even decades. However, its future prospect and potential growth is the best indication of a stock’s true value. Fundamental analysis helps one in uncovering hidden gems in the stock market. Such companies would usually have valuable assets, a strong balance sheet reflecting stable earnings and dividend history with potential for growth, an experienced board and management team, and would command a sizeable market share. How a company’s financials stand, its credit ratings, and industry outlook; all these come into play and are key to fundamental analysis.

Value investing is somewhat subjective and two investors may have exactly the same information on a company and yet place differing values on it using different valuation methods. Companies of different sizes or in different sectors may differ in terms of what is considered to be of good value. For example, what is cheap for a banking stock may not be cheap for a company that produces consumer goods.

Value investing thrives on fear and uncertainty

Markets often over react to negative news with the result that good stocks fall far below their fundamental values along with less attractive stocks. Value investing relies on the psychology of fear in the market. When there is fear in the market, many “investors” start to sell in a panic. In this process, some attractive stocks fall below their fundamental values ready to be snapped up by the discerning Read the rest of this entry »

A Five-Step Checklist for Turbulent Markets
Posted by 360 on August 8th, 2011

One of my favorite investment sayings is attributed to value investing legend Shelby Cullom Davis: “You make money during bear markets; you just don’t know it at the time.”

Davis’ point, much like Warren Buffett’s oft-quoted “be greedy when others are fearful” advice, is that opportunistic contrarians can set their portfolios up for great returns by buying when and what others are selling.

Unfortunately, many investors also lose their money during weak markets. They panic-sell and upend what had seemed like sensible investment plans when cooler heads prevailed. Then, when the market inevitably begins to ascend again, they’re left with that nagging question: Is now the time to get back in? I’m still getting emails from people who moved to cash during the last downturn.

But telling people to stay cool or go run around the block (my mom’s favorite advice for restless kids) can seem platitudinous on days when the market drops by 500 points. And let’s face it–as with most weak markets, there are scary headlines out there: gloomy economic news here at home, combined with concerns that Europe’s current debt crisis is more widespread than initially feared. If you were among those many investors compulsively hitting “refresh” on your computer for market news on Thursday and Friday, I can hardly blame you.

One way–really the only way–to stay grounded at times like this is to concentrate your energies on your own portfolio and your own financial status. Changes may indeed be in order for your investment program, but you won’t know that without conducting some analysis. Your best first investment during turbulent markets is an investment of time. You want to invest in time to see where you stand now, and, if you determine changes are in order, thoroughly research your options.

Here’s your five-step checklist for times Read the rest of this entry »

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